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Nations Game returns to the Arabian Gulf!!
Published in Alriyadh on 28 - 11 - 2013

We cannot compare all Arabs with their oil, rivers, deserts & strategic location, which represents a meeting point for continents, with Israel. The United States kept being an ally of solid situation or attitude against any project that Israel does not want to pass or let go. These roles are stable unchanged regardless of the changes in leaderships, characters and international conditions. However, the new question in this regard is whether Israel has become the strategic equivalent of Arabs who is always victorious in the diplomatic fields? Has the most powerful become the weakest due to the convergence of targets between Iran & the United States? Where are its power sources which reached the level of declaring the state of emergency in the American military bases worldwide, including the nuclear weapons pointed towards Warsaw Pact countries, during the stages of Soviet conflict with the West and during its wars with Arabs? How did pressure powers mingled in the American nerve vanished and become with no influential colors?!
If the united States did not care about an Israeli role during its deal or agreement with Iran due to considering the supreme interests that makes it closer to Russia & China in forming new policies; marginalizing Israel may be not in the same severity of its attitudes with GCC countries which represent the basic foe of the rising power of Iran, fears from armed conflicts & armament race that may put them in the core of events.
The United States wants the continuation of a Sunni-Shiite conflict and believes that Iran's attitude is closer to its targets to the extent that it believes that Iran's penetration in Syria, Iraq, Lebanon & Yemen a natural right derived from its being a coherent regional power, in addition to that Iran's conflict with the Sunni Arabs cost it a lot of wars and negative interactions that harmed its situations. Other factors are that the United States need Iran for solving complicated issues with Afghanistan and for making it a passage way for it with central Asian states, in addition to that it represents the second biggest oil reservoir after Saudi Arabia. All these factors nominate Iran for being the objective alternative of GCC countries. Moreover, the most dangerous issue is that it wants to share the influence with it in the Arab region and other regions for being a substitute of Turkey, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Egypt together.
These are not mere perceptions that can be subject to denial before leaked news from High American Centers. There is, for sure, a vision or a belief of that GCC countries represent a combination are politically heterogeneous and that there is no cooperation link that combines them together except for the shape rather the core, in addition to the complete lack of confidence between them to the extent that each of them behaves in away different to the other and that the ability of many of them for cooperating with Iran is more than their ability of cooperating with each other as unified Gulf states. On this basis, some alliances and agreements will arise and they shall be totally away of the traditional past policies where the United States used to defend its strategic interests against the Soviets and against their reaching to the warm water or to its oil needs substituted now by shale oil and gas.
The proceedings push us towards reading the reality and future in a clearer way and concluding that what is going on around us and inside our countries is linked during all stages by our national security and independent decision. It is illogical to deal with such conditions through the goodwill as long as we realize that we thought to be fundamentals or facts is no more than an illusion, especially in the political work and convertible alliances through dealing with a super power similar to the United States that does not build its relationships bases on stable or fixed interests. Thinking about this accelerating movement is not supposed to cause panic to us but it should push us towards understanding the backgrounds that put us in a doubt that must be opposed with truth but through self dependence and correcting all tracks.


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