The cold war between the East and West has returned again but without the ideological weapons, Star Wars Race & mobilizing the external world this time as the choice is targeting the basic and critical spots. I wrote few weeks earlier that the Russians success in Syria will be paid for in Ukraine and the events that occurred later have proved such anticipation. The truth is that loosing this country represents a massive loss of an economic bloc with Ukraine and the rest states of the former Soviet Union that Russia wanted to be, its center, aiming at facing Europe, the United States & China through it. Putin considers himself the new Caesar as he managed to pass many of his targets with the West. However, he knows that the power balance with them puts him in the weak side and that Ukraine which is passing through the worst financial crisis cannot withstand the case of recession and depression. After overthrowing the Ukrainian President who is an ally of Russia, the West together with the United States provided many promises rapidly for saving the Ukrainian economy which needs no less than USD 35 billion but Russia which is asking Ukraine for payment of its accumulative debts of more than USD 13 billion & provides it with the Russian gas that represents the base of its economy and needs shall practice pressures that cannot be solved in any way by the Americans and the Westerners. The Ukrainian East follows the Russian culture to the extent of establishing an alliance with it while the Ukrainian West seeks to be a part from the European West through joining its union. Thus, the indicators of splitting Ukraine into two states or two parts of which each state or part follows one party of the crisis makers may push the Russians towards sending a military force under the claim of protecting the Russians. At this stage, will it be possible, in return, that a Western-American force is sent for saving the Ukrainian element / race? What about the consequences and dangers that may push towards a war between the two parties of which no party is seeking it or believing that achieving victory in it is granted. Since its separation from the Soviet Union, the Ukrainian nation sought becoming a free and independent nation. This country owns massive agricultural and mineral wealth supported by big human power and this means that it represents a good supplementary part to any bloc it may join. Due to their fears, the Russian cannot stand a dialogue which threatens their independence or weakens their power as the importance of Ukraine to them is similar to the importance of Germany to Europe. Matters may be run in a way contrary to the Russian desires, especially if we consider that NATO countries considers Russia a line fire that can be heated at any time. Syria is a model for this case but weakening it is occurring through a strategy which is still going on. Power Test practiced against Putin shall embarrass him before his nation due to that the position he reached through saving his country from looting during Yeltsin era and destroying the Mafia gangs that exploited the Russian fortunes shall keep him before an inevitable political clash which needs applying the "Stick & carrot" policy together with a power that do not waste the influence zones on which his country's strategy is based. Conversely, options are open for many possibilities, especially because the West found something within the Russian body that it can bargain about. Achieving victory may push the two parties towards confrontations which consequences are not predictable where the victim shall be Ukraine at the end. Ukraine may not keep being independent and unified if the Russians decide to cut an important part of it. It knows that the West may help it economically but shall not take the risk of going through military confrontations. The game is dangerous but attractive if it is run through a new cold war. In this regard, Syria shall be the fourth or fifth concern in the calculations of the two parties due to that Ukraine represents the criterion on which the soft diplomatic power or even the harsh military one shall be measured as the Russians will never be forgiving if the most important neighboring country which affects their political and economical security is going to be controlled by the West.
