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Why did the Russians & Chinese side with Al-Assad's regime?!
Al-Riyadh's Editorial
Published in Alriyadh on 08 - 06 - 2012

Some people interpret Russia's support for Al-Assad and its bias against his nation by the big economic and military interests between the two countries, especially in the fields of oil extraction and some military industries, in addition to the strategic aspect as Russia's only marine base in the whole region is in Syria and to that the other Arab countries did not address Russia in their economic exchanges and other various relationships the way they did with the United states and European countries. Accordingly; its support for Syria shall be due to these reasons.
This analysis is simple in a way that couldn't reach the reality of what Russia is aiming for. Russia was burdened with worries when it had left the Soviet Union. These worries included its inability to update its systems, the mismanagement that abandoned countries of enormous economic power, corruption and lack of guarantees. The latest led the big companies and banks towards abandoning Russia and avoiding it as the economic investment looks for the outlets which are reachable through rules and laws that protect the interests of all parties. The evidence of this idea is that some of the countries that left the Soviet Union hurried to join the European Union, updated their laws and achieved financial and economic success while the others could exploit their capabilities through looking for partners that can meet their needs. The steps adopted by these countries were contrary to what Russia, which capabilities are enormous, did until now, In his last tour in Europe; Putin was eager to discuss these issues and to facilitate his citizens' entrance to NATO countries with no complications.
The reality behind Russia's rapprochement with Syria is its attempt to create a balance with the West and Syria is an ideal location for such attempt due to that it overlooks the Mediterranean and is close to Turkey, Israel and other Arab countries. Russia has an internal feeling of losing the countries that were friends of the Soviet Union but headed towards the West after its disintegration. The most important reason for Russia is that its presence in Syria makes it possible for it to swap various deals, whether military or strategic, with the West and even Israel.
On the contrary; China is a communist country officially but with a capitalist body and its economic exchanges with one of G. C. C. countries only is more than the whole of its economic operations with Syria. However, it adopts the same position of Russia, utters the same words addressed to the member states of Security Council and uses the VITO with no consideration of the consequences that may led to contracting its commercial relations with countries of the region which are opposing Al-Assad's regime. The Chinese reasons and targets are similar to the Russians' but such similarity is not due to an ally between the two countries in a similar way to their stand with North Korea against any economic or military trend planned by NATO countries and their allies in Asia towards it.
There is an attempt for creating balances and looking for a new space that does not allow the West to monopolize everything in world countries. According to the objective interpretation; the said reason is a due right of the two countries. However; if the Syrian nation managed to remove its regime, trends and directions shall be changed. That's why we find some Russian declarations which state that Russia is not protecting Al-Assad's regime but is trying to avoid a civil war. These declarations are indicators that appeared as a result of a careful interpretation of the Syrian condition and a preservation of the "way back," putting into consideration the possible occurrence of a new development that puts it with the side of the whole nation, rather than its regime. It's a philosophy that may succeed or may fail.


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