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A Growing Iranian Fear
Published in AL HAYAT on 06 - 05 - 2010

The pithy all-inclusive aggressive language used by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad at the United Nations tribune a few days ago – which targeted the United States in particular – represents the last Iranian attempt among its continued attempt to convince Washington to stop dealing with the Iranian dossiers in a gradual manner, and to push the United States to accept negotiations over a comprehensive deal with Tehran. This deal would encompass all the nuclear capacities and influence in the Middle East and the broader regional role, after the Americans succeeded in convincing the other superpowers, namely Russia and China, with the need to resolve every pending issue with Iran separately.
Ahmadinejad's eloquence failed to hide the growing Iranian concerns, especially since the Security Council will soon reach an agreement over increasing the sanctions against it. Despite the Iranian public and frequent refusal, especially by Supreme Guide Khamenei, of the extended-hand offer which Barack Obama proposed once he assumed power, Ahmadinejad said that Washington's insistence on its policy in imposing new sanctions “eventually means the deadlock of negotiations, and the relations between us will never improve, and Obama who represents the last chance to improve the picture of the United States in the world is following the footsteps of his predecessor George Bush.”
Since the Obama Administration announced its new approach of the situation in our region, it was obvious that it seeks to end the controversial issues with Iran, one after the other and in a separate way. It thus put a timeframe for its withdrawal from Iraq where the parliamentary elections, despite the obstruction in translating their results, lifted the pressures off the Americans' shoulder. Any foreign interference in the affairs of this country meant a confrontation with the Iraqis themselves. Then, the American efforts moved to Afghanistan, where Washington seeks to reduce Iranian secondary role, but the double-standard one at the same time, whereby Tehran manifests enmity for the Taliban Movement and supplies some of its components with weapons and haven, whether through military achievements or by distancing Afghani sides that oppose the Kabul regime.
The Iranians have also made some steps towards separating the Iranian nuclear file from the settlement in the Middle East. They completely opposed any Israeli military adventure to hit the Iranian nuclear sites, not only because the results of this adventure will be unguaranteed and might ignite a broad war in the region, but also because this adventure will serve Tehran's goal to manipulate the Palestinian cause and use it as a pretext to justify its role, and thus end the American attempts to gradually isolate it.
In the same context, Washington extended persistent efforts to re-launch the negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians, with it affirming its commitment every time to the two-state solution which pleases the Arab camp and besieges the parties that adopt the Iranian slogans. It also embarked on rapprochement with Damascus, and set a condition to complete this rapprochement, asking for steps that limit the Syrian and Iranian roles, particularly in Lebanon, where Washington focuses on the impact of Hezbollah's armament on the security and interests of Syria itself.
Since Iran realizes how dangerous the progress achieved by the step-by-step policy and Washington's dealing with it gradually, it always insists on linking between its nuclear capacities and the region's issues. Therefore, it conducts subsequent military maneuvers in the Gulf water and affirms on every occasion that Israel is its main concern and that the Palestinian cause worries it. This nonetheless does not make it forget to form spy cells here and there, and in the countries which share the same cause with it according to Iran itself.


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