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Portugal not expected to need second bailout
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 12 - 08 - 2011


Portugal is not likely to need another bailout, an
International Monetary Fund (IMF) representative said in Lisbon on
Friday, according to dpa.
Poul Thomsen said he was "fairly confident" this would not be
needed, as the IMF, the European Union and the European Central Bank
issued an encouraging assessment of Portugal's performance in
applying its current bailout package.
The general assessment was "very positive," European Commission
representative Juergen Kroeger said.
Portugal was granted a bailout worth 78 billion euros (109 billion
dollars) in May, becoming the third eurozone country to be rescued
after Greece and Ireland.
The positive assessment by the EU-IMF-ECB "troika," whose
representatives visited Lisbon for nearly two weeks, opened the way
for Portugal to receive the second loan tranche, worth 3.7 billion
euros, by September. Lisbon has already received 20 billion euros.
Under the terms of the bailout deal, Portugal has to cut its
budget deficit to 5.9 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) this
year, down from 9.1 per cent in 2010.
Prime Minister Pedro Passos Coelho said earlier his conservative
government had inherited a "budget slippage" of 2 billion euros from
the previous Socialist government.
In fact, the troika had discovered a "foreseeable" budget gap
worth 1.1 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP), Finance Minister
Vitor Gaspar said.
However, the troika said measures were underway to address
slippages in expenditure controls, keeping Portugal on track for a
deficit of 5.9 per cent of GDP.
Portuguese exports had been relatively strong, consumer confidence
indicators were steady, and unemployment - amounting to about 11 per
cent - was broadly stable, the troika said in a statement.
Portugal had also made progress in strengthening bank capital
levels, the banking regulatory framework, the abolition of special
rights of the state in private companies, and in labour market
reforms, according to the EU, IMF and ECB.
However, "most of the difficult challenges still lie ahead," the
troika warned. Thomsen stressed the need for the Portuguese economy
to become more open and competitive.
Gaspar announced new austerity measures, including raising value
added tax (VAT) on electricity and gas in the last quarter of this
year, instead of in 2012 as initially planned.
The bailout programme includes spending cuts, tax hikes,
privatizations and reforms to make the labour market more flexible.
The review carried out by the troika was overshadowed by the
recent deepening of the European debt crisis, and concern over the US
economy.
Portugal is in a recession, with the economy expected to contract
2.2 per cent this year.


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