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Afghanistan braces for possible election run-off
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 17 - 10 - 2009


International pressure to resolve
Afghanistan's disputed election intensified on Saturday when
senior foreign officials talked with President Hamid Karzai, Reuters reported.
The discussions, some by telephone and some in person, took
place just before the U.N.-backed Electoral Complaints
Commission was to announce the findings of its investigation
into allegations of fraud in the Aug. 20 presidential vote.
The accusations have left Afghanistan in a state of
political uncertainty at a time when U.S. President Barack Obama
is deciding on sending more troops to fight the Taliban.
If Karzai's vote tally is reduced, he could face a run-off
round against former Foreign Minister Abdullah Abdullah.
"The second round is definitely on the radar screen right
now," said a Western official close to the process. "This is why
there are delays. There are some tense negotiations going on."
A host of high-level visitors arrived in Kabul for talks
before the announcement, including U.S. Senator John Kerry, who
is chairman of the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and
French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner.
"This is very complicated," Kouchner told reporters. "We
want to understand why it is not possible to get a consensus.
But you need to work together."
Zalmay Khalilzad, the former U.S. ambassador to Afghanistan,
was also in Kabul on a private visit, the U.S. embassy said.
Karzai separately spoke by phone to British Prime Minister
Gordon Brown, U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon, Pakistan
President Asif Ali Zardari and U.S. Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton, Karzai's office said.
A U.S. diplomat said Kerry's goal was to "highlight the need
for a legitimate outcome in this election".
The elections are a vital element in Western plans to
stabilize Afghanistan and deny sanctuary there to militants
believed to have used it as a base for actions across the globe,
including the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on the United States.
More than 100,000 foreign troops are in Afghanistan fighting
Taliban insurgents but growing casualties and doubts about the
Karzai government are undermining support for the effort in the
United States, Britain and other countries involved.
After several delays, the Complaints Commission should
unveil its findings this weekend. Once it has approved them, the
Afghan election commission will adjust the tallies and announce
the final result.
Karzai won 54.6 percent of the vote, according to
preliminary figures. More than 250,000 votes would have to be
thrown out from his tally for it to fall below 50 percent.
If enough votes were disqualified, the incumbent would face
Abdullah in a second round -- barring possible legal steps to
invalidate the decision or an Abdullah decision to withdraw.
While accusing Karzai's camp of fraud and calling for a
second round, Abdullah has hinted he might be open to some
discussions after the first round result is announced.
A run-off pitting Karzai against Abdullah would be due
within two weeks.
Security threats stemming from the insurgency and the onset
of the bitter Afghan winter, which makes much of the country
impassable, could undermine the effort.


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