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German business sentiment rises in December
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 28 - 11 - 2004


German business sentiment improved
unexpectedly in December after slumping sharply in November
over concerns about high oil prices and worries that the
strengthening euro could damage exports, a closely watched
survey showed Friday.
The Ifo institute's index, based on a survey of business
executives about their outlook on the current climate and
for the next six months, rose to 96.2 from 94.1 in
November, its highest level since April this year, and well
above economists' forecasts of 93.8.
The improvement in the business climate was seen in all
four survey sectors _ manufacturing, construction,
wholesaling and retailing.
"In manufacturing, for the first time in four months, the
business outlook was appraised more positively," said Ifo
Institute President Hans-Werner Sinn, adding that this
mitigated export expectations slightly more unfavorable
than the previous month.
Benchmark crude oil futures are down about US$11 per
barrel from the record closing high of US$55.17 in late
October.
The euro hit a new all-time high against the U.S. dollar
last week of US$1.3470, jumping sharply from about US$1.20
in September.
The rapid rise has caused European leaders to worry that
euro's strength could damage their largely export-driven
recovery by making products more expensive overseas or
cutting into the profits of manufacturers who seek to hold
prices steady.
German Economics and Labor Minister Wolfgang Clement said
the rise in the Ifo Institute's index supports his growth
outlook for Europe's largest economy.
"I see this as a confirmation of my positive assessment
of the German economy's future development," Clement said.
The government expects economic growth of 1.7 percent in
2005 after an expected 1.8 percent expansion in 2004.
Several research institutes recently lowered their outlook
for 2005, citing the strong euro, high oil prices and a
slowing of the global economy as reasons.


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