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Germany rebounds from global economic slowdown
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 08 - 07 - 2011


Germany has rebounded strongly from the slowdown
in global economic growth that emerged in recent months with a slew
of figures showing exports and investment helping to power ahead
Europe's biggest economy, according to dpa.
The statistics office said Friday that German exports bounced back
by a more-than-forecast 4.3 per cent in May bolstered by a weaker
euro combined with demand from both the world's leading emerging
economies such as China. Exports slumped by 5.6 per cent in April.
"Germany's recipe for success is and will remain its export
strength," said Commerzbank economist Ulrike Rondorf.
Exports raced ahead by about 20 per cent in May compared with the
same month last year, while imports were up 15.6 per cent on the year
after climbing by 3.7 per cent in May, the statistics office said.
Meanwhile, the nation's three top luxury carmakers - BMW, Audi and
Mercedes Benz - reported this week that sales to China raced ahead
during the first six months of the year. In the case of BMW, which is
the world's biggest premium auot group, first-half sales to China
jumped by about 61 per cent.
The trade data followed figures released over the week showing
both factory orders and production growing at a faster-than-projected
rate in May and the numbers out of work contracting again in June.
German business confidence also posted a surprise increase in
June. The Munich-based Ifo institute's closely watched business
climate index edged up to 114.5 this month, from 114.2 in May.
"The German economy is experiencing a robust upswing," Ifo
president Hans-Werner Sinn said, releasing the closely watched
survey.
At the same time, the nation's unemployment appears set to enter
its third year of consecutive monthly falls with employers hiring new
workers on the back of the pickup in the economy that has taken shape
this year.
At 7 per cent, the seasonally adjusted jobless rate is now at its
lowest rate in two decades with the country facing labour shortages
in key industrial sectors. Job vacancies in June soared by about 30
per cent to 479,519 compared with the same month last year.
The latest batch of key German economic data comes amid tentative
signs that the world economy might be starting to shake off the rough
patch it went through in the wake of Japan's devastating earthquake
in March and the surge in oil prices following the uprising in the
Arab world earlier this year.
Also overhanging the global and European economic outlook has been
the uncertainty unleashed by the debt crisis gripping parts of the
17-member eurozone. This in turn has helped to undercut the
performance of the euro.
But Germany's recent economic resilience is also a reflection of
the tough round of restructuring that the nation has undertaken over
the last 20 years, which has boosted corporate competitiveness and
introduced more flexibility into the economy.
On Thursday, the Ministry of Economics and Technology in Berlin
said May industrial production rose by 1.2 per cent after a
2.5-per-cent gain in production of investment goods. Year on year,
overall industrial production rose by a strong 7.6 per cent in May,
the ministry said.
One day earlier, the ministry said new industrial orders climbed
by 1.8 per cent from an upwardly revised 2.9 per cent in April.
Domestic demand for investment goods surging by 20 per cent in May,
the figures showed.
Year on year, total factory orders jumped by 12.2 per cent in May,
the ministry
said.
Still, economists expect the German economy to slow during the
three months to the end of June after it bounded into the new year
with a solid 1.5 per cent quarter-on-quarter in the first three
months.
But they believe the country's 2011 growth rate could almost match
last year's robust 3.6 per cent expansion rate.
This is despite the moves among Germany's key European trading
partners to launch a round of tough austerity plans aimed at slashing
high deficit-and-debt levels.
While the industrial sector gains momentum, the key area of
uncertainty facing the German economy remains domestic demand.
Despite hopes that private consumption might join exports and
investment in underpinning the nation's growth rate, retail sales
plunged by 2.8 per cent month-on-month in May to record their biggest
fall in about four years, the statistics office said last week.
This came amid worries about renewed inflationary pressures caused
by higher oil prices.
But the Nuremberg-based GfK marketing institute's forward-looking
survey released last week pointed to consumer sentiment in the nation
increasing in July as expectations rose of higher incomes and a
pickup in economic growth.


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