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Bitten by sanctions, Iranians support nuclear compromise
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 07 - 06 - 2014


Parisa Hafezi
After years of tough sanctions over Iran's nuclear program, many in the country now say they want the government to make compromises that could satisfy world powers and allow a semblance of prosperity to return.
Although many Iranians still fervently believe in their country's right to all aspects of a civilian nuclear program, including those regarded with suspicion in the West, they are increasingly tired of the high economic price.
That weariness will form the backdrop on June 16 when Iran's political leaders send negotiators to Geneva for talks with six world powers aimed at hammering out an agreement that swaps concessions on uranium enrichment for sanctions relief.
“I love my country but I love my family more, and for years I have worked hard to cope with the rising prices,” said Ali Mirzai in the northern city of Rasht. “I am tired. My only hope now is (President Hassan) Rohani. He is trying to improve the economy by resolving the nuclear issue. I believe in him and his policies.”
Mirzai, like millions of Iranians who bore the brunt of the sanctions, voted last year for pragmatist Rohani after he promised to improve the flagging economy in part by striking a deal with the outside world.
Although there are no reliable opinion polls in Iran, Rohani's large margin of victory on a platform of compromise, and anecdotal evidence gleaned from recent telephone interviews across the country suggest strong public appetite for a deal.
“Rohani and his team will solve this issue. I am sure his moderate and compromising policy will work. We don't need hostility,” said Arvin Sadri, 31, who runs his father's furniture factory in the northern holy city of Mashhad.
After several rounds of talks last year, a preliminary deal was penned in Geneva in November, including a limited easing of sanctions in exchange for Iran halting some nuclear activities.
The agreement took effect on Jan. 20, and was designed to buy time for a final deal within six months. As the deadline fast approaches, the lifting of some sanctions has given Iranians a taste of how things might improve.
Maryam Simai, 41, a schoolteacher in the central city of Yazd said she supports the atomic program and believes sanctions are unfair. But she still favors compromise.
“I want to live in peace. I don't want to fear for the future of my children. The tension with the international community and sanctions have ruined our economy and has isolated us,” she said.
If a lifting of sanctions is important to many Iranians, it is vital for the political hopes of Rohani, a self-proclaimed moderate who has pledged to boost the economy.
“A deal with the world powers will bring political and economic stability to Iran. Rohani's political future depends on this deal. He will become a lame duck president if he fails to reach a deal,” said political analyst Hasan Feghhi.
Analysts and economists say he has only partially succeeded in repairing economic damage that Iran suffered during years of confrontation with the West, particularly under his hardline predecessor Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
The official inflation rate has halved to around 20 percent since Rohani's election, but unemployment remains around 30 percent and the gap between rich and poor is widening. Meanwhile, Iran's rial has dropped against the US dollar. “I support my country's nuclear achievements but at the same time I don't think it is logical to pay a heavy price for it,” said Jinus Dadgostar, 18, who lives in the affluent neighborhood of Zaferaniyeh in Tehran.
Years of official rhetoric denying that sanctions were hurting and glorifying the country's supposed self-reliance resonated with some Iranians, who said they were happy to suffer to defend a program that came to symbolize national pride.
However, Iran's traditionally cautious clerical rulers, loath to incite any Arab Spring-style domestic unrest or provoke harsher international action, have adopted more emollient language in recent months.
“Iran's clerical rulers need this deal to guarantee their power,” said a Tehran-based Western diplomat.
From businessmen in Tehran to housewives in Shiraz, many Iranians dread possible consequences of failure of the talks including further sanctions and even military attack.
The United States and Iran's arch foe Israel have not ruled out military action if diplomacy fails to resolve Iran's nuclear dispute. However, analysts say such an attack could well consolidate the clerical establishment's power.
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, for his part, said on Wednesday he did not consider a military strike was an option for the United States.
“America has now understood that a military attack is not a priority. They know that such attacks are even more dangerous for the attacker than for the country attacked.” — Reuters


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