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Saif's capture an acid test for Libya
By Peter Apps
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 21 - 11 - 2011

ReutersTHE capture of Muammar Gaddafi's son Saif Al-Islam ties up an awkward loose end for Libya's new rulers, but disputes over what to do with him could severely strain the country's fledgling systems and structures.
In the short term, his capture is seen perhaps to be offering a useful distraction from the growing problems faced by post-war Libya. But some fear it may simply end up fuelling further division or damage to the reputation of those now in charge.
While Saif Al-Islam looked for now to have avoided the brutal fate of his father — killed shortly after his capture — it is far from clear what will happen next.
Western states in particular are keen that he be handed over to the International Criminal Court, which indicted him earlier this year for crimes against humanity during the crackdown on protesters.
Senior members of Libya's NTC have said they would rather that he was tried in the country, but lack any coherent legal system with which to do so. As things stand, it is far from clear whether those in charge in Tripoli have the clout to take control of the prisoner.
“This is an acid test of the NTC's authority,” said Henry Smith, Libya analyst for London-based consultancy Control Risks.
Western human rights groups were critical of the mob justice handed out to Gaddafi senior and to at least one of his sons, and, along with many foreign governments, are demanding Saif Al-Islam be better treated.
“The authorities will send an important message that there's a new era in Libya, marked by the rule of law, by treating Saif Al-Islam humanely and surrendering him to the ICC,” said Richard Dicker, international justice director at Human Rights Watch.
“His fair prosecution at the ICC will afford Libyans a chance to see justice served in a trial that the international community stands behind.” Rights group Amnesty International said an immediate transfer to the ICC was the best option for Saif Al-Islam.
“He must be handed over to the ICC, and his safety and rights must be guaranteed,” said Hassiba Hadj Sahraoui, Amnesty International's Middle East and North Africa Deputy Director. But other analysts are unconvinced that handing the most prominent surviving member of the Gaddafi clan over to perceived foreign justice is a viable option for the NTC, keen to avoid any perceptions it might become a Western stooge.
A well conducted trial, they say, could actually serve to burnish the NTC's reputation. But some worry that a chaotic trial — particularly if followed by an execution — could simply reinforce the image of a country largely out of control.
Others ponder just how much political damage the well-connected Saif Al-Islam might do in the witness box.
“A prolonged trial may also bring divisions to the surface, and Saif may know a lot of secrets that could damage the reputations of some in the NTC and the West,” said Fraser.
“He could potentially throw the cat among the pigeons and divert attention from the task of restoring security and political stability.”
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