Al-Assad's regime believes that the motive for the international intervention in Syria is weak, if not impossible and is building such assumption on many obstacles of which the most important is the Russian-Chinese role. However, there are precedents in which the VITO could be avoided when the case was presented before the United Nations where there was a voting for adopting deterrent resolutions that included the military intervention under the 7th chapter. In addition to this, there are splits which are occurring among the Alawites who believed that they constitute a part from the regime's victims that should be treated as normal citizens by any coming government, while criminals among them should be treated in a similar way to any other criminal citizen, for avoiding consequences similar to Iraq's ones where many people were slaughtered due to their sectarian affiliation while others who were claimed by the regime to be members in Al-Baath Party were totally abandoned or isolated. The growth of the Free Army has become clear and there are many neutral reports are placing it in the future as a pressing power on the regime as they have occupied many towns and villages. The growth of the Free Army's volunteers has become a public issue and the Syrian nation shall be the beneficiary from this with the passage of time as the economical and security situation have become unbearable among an environment of criminals who open people's shops by force and assault their sanctity / taboos in a country which traditions are built on the prevailing Arab and Islamic values. The Syrian regime believes, as well, that the United States' preoccupation with the elections and the pressure of the congress & the influencing forces lead to refusing any military adventure, especially if the material and human losses in Iraq & Afghanistan are put into consideration. However, such thinking is superficial as the military adventure may constitute a gain for the present president while the reoccurrence of the slaughters will lead him who refuses the intervention towards making the tough decisions, as the human conscience there is not dead the way it is in Syria's leaders' minds and hearts. The United States intervened with its allies in Libya and such intervention had been witnessed by all the powers that were supporting or opposing Al Gaddafi. There are no guarantees that exclude Syria from adopting strict procedures against it. Even Russia shall read the results from the reality when the Syrian regime goes too far in its crimes and Anan's & United Nations General secretary's solutions become mare efforts that couldn't be fulfilled in a way that shall transform them to a reason that requires any legal action. There are visions which are surrounding Syria. Lebanon may enter a stage of divisions and tensions which lead to military clashes and this constitutes a part from Damascus leaders' strategy. Israel is involved in the core of Syrian internal condition through monitoring and estimation and may be one of the parties that Pushes the United States towards intervention if it feels that its security is under risk. In regard to the three headed ally of Russia, China & Iran; the latest builds its gains on imperial expansion based on Iraq & Syria for surrounding the Arabs & Turkey together with a Shiite Crescent. In regard to the two big countries; reasons and results are based on the estimations and calculations of the interests. If just the Arabs adopted the boycott policy, withdrew their ambassadors and stopped the inter-regional trade with these two countries, the theatre and the play shall change together, especially for China which is going to suffer the harm more than Russia. In general; the days are still full of expectations and possible decisions making as necessary options, but all of these shall be brought by the interests primarily while the human relations come in the second place.
