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IMF poised for Greece verdict as protests mount
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 30 - 05 - 2011


Inspectors from the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) and European Union are expected to announce their verdict
on Greece's efforts to rein in its budget deficit this week, as
thousands continued to protest against threatened austerity policies
on Monday, according to dpa.
Greece is on the brink of insolvency despite securing a
110-billion-euro (155-billion-dollar) bailout from the EU and the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) last year.
Efforts to meet tough deficit reduction targets are being hampered
by a deep recession, high unemployment and weak revenues - leading to
questions on whether Greece will be able to return to bond markets as
planned in 2012.
The austerity measures have significantly reduced the incomes of
many Greeks, causing widespread anger.
About 5,000 people protested in Athens' central Syntagma square on
Monday, in a demonstration which was considerably smaller than the
more than 40,000 which gathered a day earlier to protest the
country's economic crisis.
EU and IMF inspectors are currently in Athens examining the
country's fiscal progress before approval of the release of the fifth
instalment totaling 12 billion euros of aid under the emergency
bailout.
The country's political leaders failed to reach a consensus during
austerity talks last week as the EU warned that the country would get
no further aid unless there was a united front on more economic
reforms and faster sales of state assets to reduce its massive
deficit, as was the case in Ireland and Portugal.
Unless Europe commits itself to meet Greece's 2012 funding needs,
the IMF is refusing payout of its 3.3-billion-euro share of the June
tranche of aid.
On Monday, German officials refused to speculate on the latest
IMF, ECB and European Commission findings, expected by the end of the
week.
Finance Ministry spokesman Martin Kotthaus said officials were
looking at two key issues. The first was how well - or how badly -
the Greek reform programme was running, and where the problems lay.
He said this included the question of Athens' privatization
programme, and whether the process could be speeded up.
Secondly, it was important to establish Greek debt sustainability,
as the IMF demanded that Greece should be able, in part, to finance
itself on the markets by early 2012.
"What can the Greek government do to strengthen market trust in
Greece and its debt sustainability?" Kotthaus said.
The final report was likely to be discussed at an Ecofin meeting
of EU finance and economic ministers on June 20, Kotthaus added.
Greece is believed to need up to 70 billion euros on top of the
110 billion euros it is already due to receive through the end of
2013.
European officials are hoping that half of the extra funding will
come from the sale of state assets and the extension of maturities
for bonds held by private investors.
Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou has warned that,
without new funds, the country would not be able to meet its
obligations and default.
But on Monday, he assured the Greek public that the government
"was close to reaching an agreement with the EU/IMF for the fifth
instalment of funding."
Last week, the Greek government announced a new round of austerity
measures totalling 6 billion euros, including accelerating
privatizations of government holdings and tax hikes.
Athens said it is determined to raise 50 billion euros by 2015
through the privatization of the country's two biggest ports, and of
OTE Telecom and Hellenic Portbank.
European leaders remain at odds over how to handle Greece's debt
crisis, with credit ratings agencies warning that a debt default
would impact other eurozone countries.
With a debt running a more than 330 billion euros, many experts
have said that the country will be left with no other alternative
than debt restructuring.
Major ratings agencies have said that adjusting debt maturities
would be considered the same as a default-like credit event,
triggering a domino effect for banks and other eurozone sovereigns.
Concerns over Greek solvency have reawakened fears that the
eurozone debt crisis - which has already pushed Ireland and Portugal
to seek bailouts - may spread.


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