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Return to growth in East Europe won't offset unemployment
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 10 - 03 - 2011

Akhir 05 , 1432 H. / March 10, 2011 -- The economies of all Central and East European
states will expand this year, but unemployment will remain high and
recent declines in output mean it will take them longer to catch up
to their western neighbours, a leading think-tank said Thursday, according to dpa.
The sharp drop in output in most of these countries since the
world financial crisis has led to both absolute and relative declines
in per capita gross domestic product (GDP), the Vienna Institute for
International Economic Studies (WIIW) said in its latest forecast.
As a consequence, it will take five to seven more years for the
region's economies to converge with those of Western European.
"The catching-up process of the previous decade was thus
interrupted, and income gaps vis-a-vis Western Europe widened," the
WIIW said.
Several countries in the region that registered negative GDP in
2010 - Latvia, Romania, Croatia and Montenegro - will return to
growth this year. Ukraine will experience the greatest rise in GDP,
4.5 per cent.
The WIIW said that despite the recovery, post-crisis growth in the
region will be slower, which implies that "the labour market
situation will be 'far from normal.'"
"Unemployment will remain high, with young and low-skill workers
especially affected," the organization said.
The forecast covers Turkey, countries of the former Warsaw pact,
ex-Yugoslavia, the Baltic republics, and Russia, Ukraine and
Kazakhstan.


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