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IMF: Government debt could derail recovery
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 20 - 04 - 2010


The massive debts of governments in wealthy
countries pose a threat to the hard-fought stability of financial
sectors and could even spark a second global credit crisis, the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned today, according to dpa.
While the world economy may be recovering from recession, the IMF
said ballooning budget deficits could trigger a "new phase" in the
credit crisis as fearful banks raise borrowing rates or limit loans
to debt-happy governments.
The private sector by contrast is doing better, with financial
firms mostly stabilized since teetering on the brink of collapse in
October 2008. But a public debt crisis would spill back into the
financial system, with private firms also struggling to get loans.
The IMF said it expects total bank write-downs of 2.3 billion
dollars related to the credit crisis, down from an October forecast
of 2.8 billion dollars as many economies stage a recovery. Two-thirds
of those write-downs have already been reported.
Lowering budget deficits now marked "the most daunting task for
governments in the near term," the IMF wrote in its semi-annual
Global Financial Stability Report.
The Greek debt crisis and wider euro-zone troubles were an example
of the potential dangers. But Jose Vinals, who leads the IMF's
Monetary and Capital Markets Department, said the "fiscal concerns
are not confined to one country."
"Worries about default risks have risen and could undermine
financial stability," Vinals said, pointing out that the debt levels
of many advanced economies were nearing the highest levels since
World War II. Public debts, if left unchecked, "run the real risk
of undermining the recovery."
Wealthy countries were forced - at the IMF's urging - to inject
large sums of public cash into their economies as they plunged into a
deep recession in 2008. But the IMF warned that most had now "reached
the limit of public sector support" and must begin offering concrete
and credible plans for getting themselves out of debt.
But the IMF also cautioned emerging powers in Asia and Latin
America, where most economies quickly recovered from the global
recession. Their fast growth has attracted the eye of foreign
investors disturbed by the sluggish situation in wealthier countries.
-- SPA


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