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Iraqis uneasy at idea of early US withdrawal
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 15 - 08 - 2009


Unnerved by bombings that have killed
hundreds this summer, many Iraqis are losing faith in their
own security forces and fear the Americans are leaving too
quickly, according to AP.
The misgivings about the U.S. pullback from the cities,
and even about the Dec. 31, 2011 deadline for a full
withdrawal, come at a time when a senior U.S. officer has
suggested the Americans declare victory and leave even
sooner.
Iraqis, including military commanders, believe their
security forces aren't ready to act alone.
«We do not want a hasty withdrawal. The Americans have
promised a responsible withdrawal in coordination with the
Iraqi government and they should live up to their
commitments,» said Abbas al-Bayati, chairman of
parliament's security committee.
A security pact by the U.S. and Iraqi governments lays out
the timetable, but this summer's attacks mainly targeting
Shiites and minority groups in northern Iraq and Baghdad
have shaken public confidence.
At least 520 Iraqis have been killed, 378 of them in
bombings, since June 30, the date the withdrawal from the
cities was completed, according to an Associated Press
tally.
«I don't blame Sunnis for these cruel attacks that
Shiites are suffering from now. There are political reasons
behind them,» Ali Jassim, a 45-year-old Shiite store owner
in Baghdad, said after bombings in Mosul and Baghdad
Monday. «What do these government promises and assurances
that security is under control mean? I strongly demand that
the Americans return to the streets and with even more
presence than before.»
While past attacks have led to sectarian retaliation,
Iraqis now focus their anger on government forces and
political stagnation. The Shiite-led government is
criticized for failing to use its gains against insurgents
to promote reconciliation with Sunnis.
Still, the Pentagon found in a recent report to Congress
that more than 80 percent of Iraqis surveyed in April said
they had confidence Iraq's army and police could protect
them, compared with just 27 percent for American forces.
This is the contradiction Iraqis face: They badly want
their country back but remain heavily dependent on the U.S.
military to help clear roadside bombs, deploy attack
aircraft, gather intelligence and even make weather
forecasts for flights.
Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki appears eager to see the
Americans leave and has urged Iraqis to hold steady against
continued violence, calling the U.S. withdrawal from cities
a great victory and portraying himself as the leader who
defeated terrorism and ended the American occupation.
Despite the unrelenting bombings, the government has
announced that it plans to remove by mid-September most of
the concrete blast walls that have turned Baghdad into a
prison-like maze as part of its campaign to project
normalcy ahead of national elections.
Al-Maliki's administration insists its forces just need
more weapons and equipment.
«We have taken big steps during a difficult period, and
there are still more steps to take to overcome the
remaining obstacles,» al-Maliki told Shiite tribal members
Saturday.
President Barack Obama campaigned on a promise to end the
war and ordered all U.S. combat forces to leave the country
by the end of August 2010. But he said 35,000 to 50,000
troops would remain to train and advise Iraqis, mindful of
warnings that security gains are fragile.
In a memo leaked last month, an American adviser to the
Iraqi military command, Army Col. Timothy R. Reese, argued
U.S. troops should leave by next summer. He said they have
done all they can, and the Iraqis can manage.
Gen. Ray Odierno, the top U.S. commander in Iraq,
disagreed, saying the military's shift to a support role
needs time. He said the memo dealt with tactical issues,
not the overall strategic goal of helping Iraq become a
U.S. partner in the Middle East.
Reese's comments got little attention in Iraq, where
officials said privately they are used to internal U.S.
debate over the timetable.
«Such suggestions by Americans are meant only to test the
confidence of Iraqi officials and study their reactions,»
said Kazim al-Muqdadi, a political analyst at Baghdad
University.
The U.S. is expected to keep its force of some 130,000
troops largely intact in Iraq until after national
elections scheduled for January. And in light of the
bombings, most Iraqis are in no rush to see them go.
One exception is followers of Shiite cleric Muqtada
al-Sadr, the most vehement opponents of the U.S. presence.
«We think the Iraqi security forces, despite some
breaches and problems, are capable of controlling the
country,» said Salah al-Obeidi, a spokesman for al-Sadr's
movement. «A faster withdrawal by the U.S. will force the
Iraqis to be more responsible and confident in dealing with
problems.»
But the consensus is that while Iraqi soldiers and police
can man checkpoints and carry out operations, they still
need significant weapons and training _ particularly in
developing Iraq's navy and air force, which had to be built
from scratch following the 2003 U.S. invasion.
«I think that Iraqi forces will be able to handle the
security situation in the country, but we might need
noncombat troops to stay past 2011,» al-Bayati said.
One senior Iraqi general, who spoke on condition of
anonymity because he wasn't authorized to discuss the issue
with the media, said the navy needs at least another five
years to be strong enough to defend Iraq's oil-rich patch
of the Persian Gulf.
The police chief in the northern, ethnically tense city of
Kirkuk, Maj. Gen. Jamal Tahir, also cautioned that rising
animosity between Arabs and Kurds may turn violent.
«It takes time until Iraq's police and army can be fully
prepared to take over responsibility and all pending
problems related to the disputed areas can be solved,» he
said. «Until then, the presence of American forces is
preferred.»
A Sunni lawmaker warned that the top U.S. rival in the
region, Iran, was ready to fill any vacuum.
The United States «must fix the main mistake it made,
which was disbanding the Iraqi army and other security
forces after the invasion,» Saleh al-Mutlaq said. «The
atmosphere is not stable yet and the U.S. occupation could
be replaced by an Iranian one if the Americans leave too
soon.»


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