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Berlin feels pinch as Germany sinks into recession
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 21 - 11 - 2008


The German Government said Friday it had been
forced to substantially boost borrowings to meet plans for spurring
economic growth amid signs that a sharp contraction has taken hold in
Europe's biggest economy, according to dpa.
A late-night marathon meeting of the parliamentary budget
committee signed off on the government of Chancellor Angela Merkel's
2009 budget proposals, which includes raising new borrowing to 18.5
billion euros (23 billion dollars).
German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck had forecast in the
middle of the year that new borrowings would total 10.5 billion
euros.
But since then the world financial crisis has pushed the global
economy into a dramatic downturn forcing Berlin to join other
governments around the world in unveiling a stimulus package aimed at
underpinning economic growth and a 500-billion-euro rescue plan to
help the nation's financial sector limp through the current upheaval.
Germany key purchasing managers' index (PMI) published Friday
underscored how quickly the economic slump was engulfing the nation
with both the manufacturing and service sectors' PMI falling to their
lowest levels in a decade.
A decline in tax revenue as a result of a contraction in economic
activity as well as the government's decision to shelve
privatisations including the railway company, Deutsche Bahn AG, is
also playing havoc with budget planning.
As a result, draft budget tax revenue projections have been
revised downward sharply by about 4.6 billion euros to 244.1 billion
euros.
A slew of major indicators and data to be published next week are
forecast to confirm the economic deterioration is underway in Germany
with business confidence declining again and the long run of falling
unemployment in the country coming to an end.
Data released last week showed the German economy tipping into
recession with growth shrinking by a bigger-than-forecast 0.5 per
cent during the third quarter, on top of a 0.4-per- cent contraction
in the second quarter.
The rapidly weakening economic picture combined with a plunge in
oil prices is also predicted to result in another a dramatic fall in
inflation with preliminary data showing consumer prices coming in at
annual 1.6 per cent in November compared to 2.4 per cent in October.
Analysts predict the European Union statistics office to say on
Friday that annual inflation in the 15-member eurozone fell from 3.2
per cent in October to 2.7 per cent in November.
The prospect of a tough economic year in 2009 comes as Germany's
political parties start to gear up for next year's national election.
Berlin expects the 12 billion-euro-package of stimulus measures
agreed to by Merkel's cabinet about two weeks ago to result in a
bigger 50-billion-euro boost to consumption and investment. The
packages includes steps to encourage investment in energy-efficient
buildings and incentives for car buyers.
In addition, the bleak economic outlook means Merkel's government
will be struggling to meet its target of balancing its budget
possibly by 2011.
Indeed, Berlin is also under pressure from the European Union (EU)
to contribute to a planned massive 130-billion-euro package aimed at
helping to fire up economic growth in Europe.
In the meantime, the grim news facing the global economy continues
to roll in with share markets taking another beating this week on
fears of a deep and protracted recession engulfing the world's
leading industrial nations.
While Germany's closely watched Ifo business confidence index to
be released Monday is tipped fall to 89.0 in November from 90.2 in
October, the nation's labour office is predicted to say that the jobs
markets stagnated in November.


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