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Hungarian Socialists preparing for minority government
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 01 - 04 - 2008


The Hungarian Socialist Party is prepared to
govern without a majority if talks to entice the junior coalition
partner back into government fail, the Socialist's parliamentary
caucus leader Ildiko Lendvai said Tuesday, according to dpa.
Lendvai was speaking after talks between junior coalition member
the Alliance of Free Democrats and the Socialists aimed at saving the
coalition.
The Free Democrats jumped ship on Monday night following a
disagreement over the speed of economic reforms that slashed the
budget deficit but also nearly stalled the economy in 2007.
The party said it would withdraw its ministers and state
secretaries from government by April 30.
While there was no concrete resolution to Tuesday's talks, Imre
Szekeres, the Socialists' deputy chairman and defence minister,
earlier in the day said there should be enough time to resolve the
issues before the deadline.
Neither party can afford early elections, as they are both
trailing main opposition party Fidesz in the polls - the Socialists
are polling as low as 15 per cent compared to almost 40 per cent for
Fidesz.
In the event of an election, the Free Democrats would not even
reach the 5-per-cent threshold needed to get into parliament.
New website index.hu on Tuesday reported that Socialist party
sources said Gyurcsany had offered to quit if it meant saving the
coalition. However, Lendvai denied this offer had taken place and
said that the party would have refused it in any case.
Most analysts believe Gyurcsany will stay in charge of a minority
government until the 2010 general elections as he has no credible
challenger.
However, they say it is also possible that the Socialists could
poach four MPs from the Free Democrats in order to gain a majority.
The Socialists have 190 seats in parliament, while the Free
Democrats hold 20.
Even if the coalition cannot be saved, Lendvai said that the Free
Democrats had promised to support government legislation.
The split came after Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsany first
announced that plans to introduce private capital into the health
insurance system - a key Free Democrat policy - would be rethought
and then sacked the health minister, a Free Democrat appointee.
A recent referendum loss on fees for medical treatment and
education - part of the reforms - combined with the poor poll ratings
prompted the Socialists to U-turn on the healthcare plans.
Free Democrat Janos Koka chairman said this showed the government
had given up completely on the economic reforms that cut the deficit
from 9.2 per cent of gross domestic product in 2006 to 5.5 per cent
in 2007.
Prior to the meeting, Gyurcsany said that the problems were not
about people, but about the speed of reform, and asked both parties
to lay their cards on the table.
In an emailed statement, he said that both parties should make it
clear which fiscal policies they support and suggest concrete
proposals for changes to reform plans in order to work toward
agreement.
The reforms, which are aimed at cutting the deficit with a view to
eventually adopting the euro, fanned inflation, now at 6.9 per cent
after peaking at 9 per cent in 2007, and cut 2007 economic growth to
1.3 per cent - way behind Hungary's regional peers.
The economic difficulties, coupled with Gyurcsany's September 2006
admission that he lied about the need for reform measures prior to
that year's election, pushed the government's popularity to rock
bottom.


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