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US consumer sentiment weaker as holidays loom
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 22 - 11 - 2006


U.S. consumer sentiment
slipped in November, data showed on Wednesday, sparking concern
over the outlook for the country's retail sector during the
holiday gift-giving season, according to Reuters.
The University of Michigan's final reading of its November
index of consumer sentiment fell to 92.1 from October's final
reading of 93.6. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a
final November reading of 93.1.
"Though these figures did little to change the overall
outlook, they took the luster off the outlook as we enter the
Thanksgiving Day holiday, and the start of the U.S. holiday
shopping season on Friday," said Michael Englund, chief
economist at Action Economics in Boulder, Colorado.
Many Americans do not plan to spend lavishly during the
holidays, despite a a healthy job market and income gains this
year as higher energy costs and tight finances still leave many
families feeling stretched, surveys have found.
According to a survey by the Consumer Federation of
America and the Credit Union National Association, 32 percent
of shoppers want to spend less than they did during the 2005
holidays. About half of the survey's roughly 1,000 respondents
said they would like to spend about the same and only 15
percent intended to spend more.
The National Retail Federation expects U.S. shoppers to
spend just 5 percent more this holiday season, down from 6.1
percent growth a last year. Credit card group Visa USA
estimates growth will be around 7.5 percent.
For many retailers, how the year-end shopping season pans
out means the difference between a good year and a bad year. It
also affects the overall U.S. economy, which is largely driven
by consumption.
The dollar extended losses after the weaker-than-expected
reading on sentiment, while U.S. Treasury debt prices were
mostly steady in thin trade ahead of the Thanksgiving Day
holiday on Thursday. Stock markets also were little changed.
JOBLESS CLAIMS RISE
Meanwhile, the Labor Department said the number of U.S.
workers applying for jobless benefits rose by an unexpectedly
steep 12,000 in the week ending Nov. 18.
Overall, jobless claims rose to 321,000 in the week, which
compares with Wall Street forecasts for claims of 310,000. This
follows a revised 309,000 the previous week.
"So far, jobless claims remain extraordinarily low despite
a rapidly deteriorating housing market and a weakening
manufacturing sector," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at
Moody's Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania.
The labor market is under close scrutiny after a surprise
drop in the unemployment rate to 4.4 percent in October, from
4.6 percent, after 92,000 fresh jobs were created that month.
Federal Reserve officials may worry a tight labor market
could add to wage pressures as they consider whether to keep
interest rates on hold at their next meeting, on Dec. 12.
In other data released on Wednesday, U.S. mortgage
applications fell for the first time in three weeks despite a
dip in mortgage rates to their lowest level since January.
The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally
adjusted index of mortgage application activity, which includes
both refinancing and purchasing loans, for the week ended Nov.
17 fell 3.7 percent to 623.6 from the previous week's 647.5.
A cooling housing market has raised fears the U.S. economy
may be heading for trouble, with some investors betting the Fed
will have to cut rates next year as growth slows.


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