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Russia calls time-out in campaign against Shell
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 26 - 09 - 2006


Russia called a time-out on
Tuesday in its campaign against environmental violations and
cost overruns at Royal Dutch Shell's Sakhalin-2 oil and gas
project after strong criticism from foreign governments, according to Reuters.
In an announcement likely to ease tension, Natural Resources
Minister Yuri Trutnev said work on the giant offshore project in
Russia's Far East could continue while a full-scale ecological
probe, due to start on Oct. 25 and last a month, is held.
"We think we should rectify the situation without stopping
the project," Trutnev told a news conference.
He added that, until the investigation was completed, the
official permit for the project would not be revoked. "When the
probe is over, we will think what to do next," he said.
Trutnev said environmental worries included deforestation,
damage to the sea, sand clogging river beds and the potential
for pipeline damage due to mudslides.
Some analysts have viewed Russia's environmental concern in
this case as a means to put pressure on foreign companies by a
Kremlin that is asserting control over natural resources, as
well as showing clout in domestic and international politics.
Shell has come under fire from Russia after admitting the
project would cost $20 billion, twice as much as it originally
estimated, complicating talks on a strategic swap of assets with
state-controlled gas monopoly Gazprom.
Gazprom wants to take an equity stake in Sakhalin-2, which
will supply liquefied natural gas to export markets such as
Japan and Korea. The Kremlin is also pushing to renegotiate the
production sharing agreement (PSA) underpinning it.
The so-called PSA is one of three in Russia negotiated in
the early 1990s, when oil prices were low, under which Moscow
gets no revenues until project costs are covered. This provision
makes the cost overruns particularly hard for Moscow to accept.
"There has been a softening in the position. The rhetoric
has toned down," said Deutsche UFG's head of research, Stephen
O'Sullivan.
"Now there will be negotiations. The end result could be
better commercial terms for Gazprom in its asset swap talks with
Shell," said O'Sullivan.
Signalling the softer line, a Kremlin source told Reuters on
Monday there was no plan to strip the project of its licence to
operate on Sakhalin, an island north of Japan where the world's
biggest LNG project is now 80 percent complete.
EASING THE PRESSURE
On Tuesday, politicians in Russia's parliament and the Far
East region came to the defence of the project, which has been
hit by complaints from Russia's environmental and technical
watchdogs.
Interfax news agency quoted the governor of Sakhalin region,
Ivan Malakhov, as saying Russia had shown through the Sakhalin
projects that it could cooperate and keep promises signed in
production sharing agreements. "Reputation is more important
than money," he said.
The speaker of the upper house of parliament, Sergei
Mironov, a supporter of President Vladimir Putin, ordered the
house's natural resources committee to report back on Sakhalin-2
and get to the bottom of what was happening.
"We are primarily interested in the legal aspects of this
issue and the ecological consequences. Protecting the interests
of foreign investors is also of no small interest to us," he was
quoted as saying by Interfax news agency.
One diplomat said: "There is a sense that the jackboot is
coming off Shell's neck." Another added: "It's a victory of
sorts. Now there is some breathing space."
DEALS IN THE DOCK
Russia's pressure on production sharing agreements has
dismayed Japan, which expects Sakhalin to meet much of its
future energy needs, and has evoked protests from Brussels,
London and The Hague.
Analysts expected Russia's tough line to continue as the
Kremlin seeks a bigger slice of strategic energy riches.
"The government wants the production sharing agreements done
away with, but they can't get rid of them either," said Deutsche
UFG's O'Sullivan. "They'll find a compromise in the end."
Russia says it will not tolerate increases in the cost of
the PSAs such as Sakhalin-2 or the neighbouring Sakhalin-1
project operated by U.S. oil major Exxon Mobil.
Japanese giants Mitsubishi Corp. and Mitsui & Co are the
other major investors in Sakhalin-2 after Shell, holding 45
percent between them.
Also under the spotlight are TNK-BP, a joint venture
involving Britain's BP which has been told it could lose its
licence to operate the giant Kovykta gas field, and French
company Total's Kharyaga project in Siberia.


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