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US CBO sees Senate immigration bill hiking outlays
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 22 - 08 - 2006


An immigration law overhaul
passed by the U.S. Senate could increase spending by as much as
$127 billion during the next decade but the cost could be much
lower due to tax revenues from newly legalized workers,
according to a congressional study reported by Reuters.
House Republican opponents to the Senate bill on Tuesday
pounced on the report by the Congressional Budget Office saying
the legislation, which would create a guest worker program
backed by President George W. Bush, comes "with a staggering
price tag for American taxpayers."
House Majority Leader John Boehner, an Ohio Republican,
used the report to bolster an election-year push by House
Republicans for immigration legislation that focuses only on
border security and tough employer enforcement measures.
"This is what House Republicans have passed," Boehner said
in a statement. "And this is what the American people want and
demand from their elected leaders."
But Sen. Edward Kennedy, a Massachusetts Democrat who
helped write the Senate bill, said the report shows the
legislation also will generate more more federal revenues.
"Providing legal status to the millions of men and women
now living in the shadows will lead to increased wages and
greater compliance with tax laws, generating more than $40
billion in revenue and offsetting most of the costs of the
legalization reforms," Kennedy said in a statement.
Leighton Ku, an analyst with the liberal Center on Budget
and Policy Priorities, said the revenue effect would grow over
time as newly legalized immigrants improve jobs and incomes.
The Senate bill would require illegal workers seeking to
legalize their status to pay substantial fines and pay back
taxes as well as meet other requirements.
"By the time people have done all these things, these are
people who have become fairly self-sufficient," Ku said.
The CBO estimated that the Senate-passed bill would
increase spending by $48.4 billion over the next decade for
federal food and health-care programs plus a refundable tax
credit for low income workers.
Spending for a new employer enforcement program plus more
border patrol agents, detention facilities and construction of
fencing along parts of the U.S. border with Mexico would total
about $78.3 billion through 2016, the CBO said. But even
conservative Republicans who are opposed to the Senate bill
support these enforcement efforts.
CBO noted that the Senate bill as written includes
ambiguous language about employer liabilities for Social
Security taxes that could result in a substantial loss in
revenue over the next decade, some $79 billion. But when the
"intent" of the legislation is taken into account, the result
is a revenue increase of nearly $44 billion, CBO said.
CBO also estimated that by 2016 more than 16 million people
would take advantage of the guest worker program and provisions
allowing illegal immigrants to adjust their status. That figure
could grow to 24 million people by 2026, CBO said.
-SPA


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