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US INCOMES AND SPENDING UP BUT INFLATION RISES ABOVE FED COMFORT ZONE
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 26 - 05 - 2006


CONSUMER SPENDING GREW IN APRIL AT THE
FASTEST PACE IN THREE MONTHS, SUPPORTED BY SOLID INCOME
GROWTH. BUT IN A WORRISOME DEVELOPMENT, A KEY GAUGE OF
INFLATION WATCHED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE POSTED THE BIGGEST
INCREASE IN 13 MONTHS, AP REPORTED.
THE COMMERCE DEPARTMENT REPORTED FRIDAY THAT CONSUMER
SPENDING JUMPED 0.6 PERCENT LAST MONTH, THE BEST SHOWING
SINCE A 0.8 PERCENT RISE IN JANUARY, WHILE INCOMES ROSE BY
0.5 PERCENT, SUPPORTED BY STRONG WAGE AND SALARY GAINS.
HOWEVER, CORE INFLATION, EXCLUDING ENERGY AND FOOD, WAS UP
2.1 PERCENT IN APRIL COMPARED TO THE SAME MONTH A YEAR AGO.
THIS WAS THE FASTEST INCREASE IN THIS INFLATION GAUGE SINCE
A SIMILAR 2.1 PERCENT INCREASE FOR THE 12 MONTHS ENDING IN
MARCH 2005 AND WAS ABOVE THE FED'S COMFORT ZONE FOR
INFLATION.
THE FED CONDUCTS POLICY WITH A GOAL OF KEEPING INFLATION
EXCLUDING ENERGY AND FOOD RISING AT AN ANNUAL RATE OF 1
PERCENT TO 2 PERCENT. WHILE A 2.1 PERCENT READING IS ONLY
SLIGHTLY ABOVE THAT TARGET LEVEL, FINANCIAL MARKETS HAVE
GROWN CONCERNED IN RECENT WEEKS THAT THE CENTRAL BANK MAY
KEEP RAISING RATES AT COMING MEETINGS BECAUSE INFLATIONARY
PRESSURES HAVE BEGUN TO MOUNT.
THE CONCERN IS THAT BIG INCREASES IN OIL PRICES THIS YEAR
COULD NOW BE SPILLING OVER INTO OTHER AREAS OF THE ECONOMY,
UPSETTING THE CALM INFLATION ENVIRONMENT THAT THE FED SEEKS
TO MAINTAIN AS A WAY TO SPUR ECONOMIC GROWTH.
TO KEEP INFLATION UNDER CONTROL, THE FED INCREASES
SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES TO SLOW BORROWING AND ECONOMIC
ACTIVITY. THE FED HAS BOOSTED A KEY RATE AT 16 CONSECUTIVE
MEETINGS OVER THE PAST TWO YEARS WITH THE BIG QUESTION NOW
BEING WHETHER IT WILL CALL A PAUSE AT ITS NEXT MEETING AT
THE END OF JUNE OR KEEP RAISING RATES.


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