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Japan's economy 2 Tokyo


start the
economy.
Rejection of the postal reform bill Monday was "a major
political blow" to Koizumi, conceded Takahira Ogawa,
Director of Sovereign and International Finance Ratings at
Standard & Poor's. But economic reforms are likely to
continue regardless of who wins the Sept. 11 vote, he said.
"Overall, Japan's economy is in much better shape to
weather a political storm than a few years ago," Ogawa
said. "We expect that whoever takes government, the
broader policy on structural reform will be maintained."
Standard & Poor's affirmed its "AA-" long-term and
"A-1+" short-term sovereign ratings for Japan and kept
its outlook "stable."
The Bank of Japan, meanwhile, said in its monthly report
that exports are increasingly moderately, an improvement
over last month's assessment that "growth in exports
remains weak." Industrial production is in also an
"uptrend," although there are some bumps in the
information technology sector, the report said.
"Household income has been rising moderately, as the
employment situation has been improving and wages have
picked up," the Bank of Japan said. In July, the bank
simply said wages had stopped declining.
Japan's jobless rate fell to 4.2 percent in June, its
lowest level in seven years.
The Cabinet echoed the Bank of Japan in saying exports are
improving along with household spending. "The economy is
recovering at a moderate pace," it said in its monthly
report on the economy. "It can be judged that the economy
is out of its lull."
Japan's main stock index, the Nikkei 225, gained 1 percent
Tuesday despite upheaval about the elections. Koizumi
called the poll a referendum on whether people wanted to
privatize the postal system.
Japan has struggled to wrest itself out of inconsistent
growth since the early 1990s, and the economy has been on a
moderate rebound in the last few years.


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