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Europe's crisis haunts markets again
PAN PYLAS
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 19 - 04 - 2011

LONDON: Europe's debt crisis returned to haunt markets Monday as investors fretted over a possible Greek default and the impact of huge gains for a nationalist party in Finland.
Portugal also began discussions on a financial bailout and Spain had to pay a much higher interest rates to tap bond investors.
Although borrowing costs for countries like Greece, Ireland and Portugal have risen sharply higher in recent weeks, the euro managed to brush off debt crisis concerns, hitting a 15-month high last week above $1.45. The currency has been buoyed by predictions that the European Central Bank will follow April's first interest rate hike in nearly three years with more policy tightening.
That benefits the euro if investors don't expect others, such as the Federal Reserve, to do the same.
However, there was little respite for the currency Monday in a stream of negative developments, which sent the euro down 1.3 percent to $1.4222. Earlier it had dropped to $1.4157, its lowest level since April 5.
Further debt jitters emerged with the news that Spain had to pay sharply higher interest rates to raise €4.7 billion ($6.7 billion) in short-term debt, while the yield on Greece's 10-year bonds spiked nearly a whole percentage point at one stage to 14.59 percent.
That's the first time it's gone above 14 percent since the country took up the euro in 2001.
By the close, the yield had eased slightly to 14.55 percent, but the difference with benchmark German bunds was over 11 percent – a staggering differential given that the two countries use the same currency.
The renewed focus on Greece's debts has come after some suggestions that the country would be better off looking for a way to renegotiate its debts.
Costas Simitis, Greece's Socialist premier from 1996-2004, has backed calls for the country to deal with its debt mountain, arguing that a protracted austerity program may not work. A negotiated restructuring would be better, allowing Greece to rebuild its economy over the next 15 to 20 years, he argued.
He's not the only one arguing for a restructuring but the Greek government insists that is not on the agenda, as it would make it more difficult to tap bond markets in the future.
The governor of Greece's central bank weighed in Monday, arguing that a restructuring is “unnecessary and undesirable.” However, central banker George Provopoulos admitted that cost-cutting reforms by Greece's Socialist government were showing signs of “fatigue” and required a “powerful restart” to keep the program on track.
Whether Greece can actually withstand the pressure is another matter – after all, it spent the early part of 2010 insisting it didn't need a bailout. By May, it had to accept a €110 billion ($159 billion) package of rescue loans from its partners in the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.


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