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World economy can resist $100 oil price, says Kuwait
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 26 - 12 - 2010


OPEC unlikely to raise output in 2011
CAIRO: The global economy can withstand an oil price of $100 a barrel, Kuwait's oil minister said Saturday, as other exporters indicated OPEC may decide against increasing output through 2011 as the market was well supplied.
Analysts have said oil producing countries are likely to raise output after crude rallied more than 30 percent from a low in May because they fear prices could damage economic growth in fuel importing countries.
European benchmark ICE Brent crude for February closed at $93.46 Friday after hitting $94.74 a barrel, its highest level since Oct. 2008.
Arab oil exporters meeting in Cairo this weekend said they saw no need to supply more crude as stocks were high and prices had been inflated temporarily by cold weather in Europe.
Asked by Reuters if the world economy could stand a $100 oil price, Kuwaiti Oil Minister Sheikh Ahmad Al-Abdullah Al-Sabah said: “Yes it can”.
Iraq's new oil minister and the head of Libya's National Oil Corporation both told Reuters that $100 was a fair price, while Qatar's Minister Abdullah Al-Attiyah said he did not expect OPEC to increase production in 2011.
“I do not expect an OPEC meeting before June because oil prices are stable,” he said.
The Cairo meeting of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC) brought together Arab members of OPEC including Saudi Arabia, as well as non-OPEC countries Tunisia, Egypt, Syria and Bahrain.
OPEC cut output drastically after the global financial crisis struck in 2008 to prop up collapsing oil prices.
As demand has risen steeply in 2010 and is expected to rise further in 2011, the market is watching closely whether OPEC can release at least some of its spare capacity to prevent prices from soaring to around $150 per barrel as they did before the crisis struck in summer 2008.
Saudi Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources Ali Al-Naimi said Friday he was still happy with an oil price of $70-80 a barrel and there was no need for an extra OPEC meeting before the next scheduled one in June.
Others in the group have been pressing for a higher price, arguing that quantitive easing and a weakened US dollar that spurred gains across financial markets mean the oil price strength is partly nominal.
Egyptian Oil Minister Sameh Fahmy said the current increase in oil prices was the result of higher demand on heating fuel because of the cold weather in Europe.
UAE Oil Minister Mohammed Al-Hamli said crude oil inventories are “quite high. It's the highest over the five years average... the market is well supplied”.
Separately, Iraq's newly appointed oil minister said Saturday that oil exports from the country's northern self-ruled Kurdish region would soon resume as part of the country's national oil export policy.
Abdul-Karim Elaibi told The Associated Press the exports from the Kurdish region would be resumed “in the coming few days.” He didn't set a date or elaborate on how the exports would be part of the nation's export strategy.
Exports from the north were halted a few months after they started in June 2009 amid a disagreement over payments between the central government in Baghdad and the Kurds.
Iraqi Kurds have unilaterally signed more than two dozens oil deals with Western companies that are deemed illegal by Baghdad.
Earlier this month, Elaibi's predecessor said the Kurds were committed to exporting 150,000 barrels a day. Iraq plans to export 2.25 million barrels a day next year, up from 1.9 million at present.


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