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Gulf petchem output valued at $200b by 2020
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 09 - 12 - 2010

JEDDAH: Petrochemicals production in the Gulf region could be worth $150 billion to $200 billion annually by 2020, up from $40 billion this year, the chief executive of state oil company Saudi Aramco said Wednesday.
"By 2020, the region's petrochemical and chemical industry should grow five times. The current production at $40 billion should increase to reach $80 billion per year over the coming decade," Khalid Al-Falid said in a speech at a petrochemicals conference in Dubai.
"But I would like to see by 2020 production hitting $150 billion to $200 billion mark," he said.
Aramco is expanding output both of refined products and natural gas to meet rising domestic demand, Al-Falih said in September. The producer may have to develop more challenging resources such as shale gas and deposits of comparatively sour reserves of the fuel, he said at the time.
The petrochemicals business is recovering from the global financial crisis, helped by demand from the automotive, construction and consumer goods industries and the continued economic expansion in China. Crude oil is up 12 percent this year, reaching a high of close to $90 a barrel, after gaining nearly 80 percent in 2009.
Gulf chemicals output meets up to 40 percent of Asia's demand, Sheikh Lubna Bint Khalid Al-Qasimi, the United Arab Emirates' minister of foreign trade said in a speech at the conference.
"By 2015, there will be an additional nine crackers in the region, five from Saudi Arabia, one from Qatar, one in the United Arab Emirates and two from Iran," Qasimi said.
She said 7 million tons of ethylene capacity will be added by 2015 which will account for 25 percent of the world's total production.
Aramco completed last year a massive crude expansion program which took its output capacity to 12 million barrels per day (bpd). It is now focusing on increasing gas production to cater for domestic demand for utilities and petrochemicals.
Aramco and its partners in petrochemicals joint ventures will soon announce progress on expansion plans for PetroRabigh, known as Phase II, and another petrochemical project with US Dow Chemical, Falih said.
Petrochemicals complex PetroRabigh is a venture between Japan's Sumitomo Chemical and Aramco. The complex is integrated with a 400,000 bpd refinery and was part of Aramco's plans to build refinery-based petrochemical complexes across the kingdom.
Falih said the two complexes would include a number of new products which have never been produced in the Middle East, including metallocene-based elastomers, glycol ethers, solution polyethylene, MMA/PMMA (methyl methacryllate/poly methyl methacryllate), nylon and EP-rubber.
Petrochemicals output in the world's top oil exporter is expected to reach 80 million tons per year in 2015 from 60 million tons in 2009, Saudi oil minister Ali Al-Naimi said last year.
Saudi Basic Industries Corp (SABIC) alone plans to boost its petrochemicals production to 130 million tons by 2020, its chief executive officer, Mohammed Al-Mady was quoted as saying last year.


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