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Five Years on, Iraq still a Nation at War
Agence France Presse
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 17 - 03 - 2008

Five years after US-led invasion troops swept through Iraq, Saddam Hussein is dead and an elected government sits in Baghdad - but Iraqis remain beset by rampant violence, political stalemate, economic woes and the humiliation of a foreign occupation.
Saddam's regime was toppled in just three weeks in what US President George W. Bush declared as the first bombs dropped on Baghdad in March 2003 was a campaign to disarm Iraq and “free its people.” But fear of Saddam's hated secret police has been replaced by a new terror, with Iraq still being hit on a daily basis by insurgent attacks and Sunni-Shiite violence where victims are counted in scores.
Although the level of violence has dropped over the past few months, the top US commander in Iraq, General David Petraeus, says the US and Iraqi governments both recognize the nation's leaders have not made sufficient progress in settling their political differences.
“Scoring a military victory is easy, but a political victory is more difficult to achieve,” said Mustapha Alani, director of security studies at the Dubai-based Gulf Research Center.
Despite their rapid victory in 2003, US soldiers today are routinely targeted by rockets, roadside bombs, and suicide attacks, mired in a war against Al-Qaeda fighters, especially in northern Iraq. Central, western and southern Iraq are now relatively calm, however.
A “surge” in US forces, which for about one year increased the level of troops to more than 160,000, is clearly a major factor in cracking down on violence, along with a US program that pays men, including former insurgents, to join local anti-Qaeda defense groups known as the “Awakening.”
Another reason for the decline is Shiite cleric Moqtada Al-Sadr's orders to his powerful Mahdi Army militia to freeze its activities.
The Pentagon once branded him as the biggest threat to stability in Iraq but today US commanders address him with the honorific title Sayyid.
In other areas, progress has been painfully slow.
The economy, the main concern of Iraqis after security, is a wreck. Unemployment is running at between 25 and 50 percent of the workforce, according to government figures.
There are also various figures about oil, the country's main money-earner and a key source of contention between rival political factions. While Iraqi officials say production is at 2.9 million barrels a day, higher than pre-war levels, oil analysts believe it is really around 2.2 million.
Public services like water and electricity have yet to be fully restored, despite construction projects and announcements that service has been re-established. Whole sections of Baghdad remain without electricity, while the lucky neighborhoods get power only sporadically.
Government calls for Iraqi refugees to return to help rebuild the country have been largely ignored. Fewer than 50,000 have returned from neighboring Jordan and Syria, where more than two million have fled.
Iraq's parliament, dominated by an alliance of Shiite and Kurdish parties, has done little to approve crucial legislation, and has been paralyzed by competition from parties bent on addressing their narrow sectarian interests.
Aside from the heavy loss of life, the war is estimated to have already cost the United States more than 400 billion dollars - making it the most expensive conflict in history, and far beyond the original estimates.
What are the results? US credibility has been eroded in the Middle East; the influence of Iran, Washington's nemesis, has grown; and the price of oil has spiked to record levels, with negative repercussions on the global economy. __


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