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WHO warns of swine flu ‘explosion'
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 22 - 08 - 2009

The global spread of swine flu will endanger more lives as it speeds up in coming months and governments must boost preparations for a swift response, the World Health Organization said Friday.
There will soon be a period of further global spread of the virus, and most countries may see swine flu cases double every three to four days for several months until peak transmission is reached, said WHO's Western Pacific director, Shin Young-soo.
“At a certain point, there will seem to be an explosion in case numbers,” Shin told a symposium of health officials and experts in Beijing. “It is certain there will be more cases and more deaths.”
WHO has declared the swine flu strain a pandemic, and it has killed almost 1,800 people worldwide through last week. International attention has focused on how the pandemic is progressing in southern hemisphere countries such as Australia, which are experiencing winter and their flu season.
But it is in developing countries where the accelerated spread of swine flu poses the greatest threat as it places underequipped and underfunded health systems under severe strain, Shin said.
Governments must act quickly to educate the public, prepare their health systems to care for severe cases and protect those deemed more vulnerable to prevent unnecessary deaths, he said.
“We only have a short time period to reach the state of preparedness deemed necessary,” Shin said. “Communities must be aware before a pandemic strikes as to what they can do to reduce the spread of the virus, and how to obtain early treatment of severe cases.”
Pregnant women face a higher risk of complications, and the virus also has more severe effects on people with underlying medical conditions such as asthma, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, autoimmune disorders and diabetes, WHO chief Margaret Chan said in a video address.
WHO earlier estimated that as many as two billion people could become infected over the next two years – nearly one-third of the world's population.
Health officials and drug makers, meanwhile, are looking into ways to speed up production of a vaccine before the northern hemisphere enters its flu season in coming months. Estimates for when a vaccine will be available range from September to December.
WHO has stressed that most cases are mild and require no treatment, but the fear is that a rash of new infections could overwhelm hospitals and health authorities, especially in poorer countries. – AgenciesNo Tamiflu for healthy people with swine flu
LONDON – Healthy people who catch swine flu don't need antiviral drugs like Tamiflu, the WHO said Friday in new advice. Doctors don't need to give Tamiflu to healthy people who have mild to moderate cases of swine flu, WHO said. The drug should definitely be used to treat people in risk groups who get the virus. That includes children less than five years old, pregnant women, people over age 65 and those with other health problems like heart disease, HIV or diabetes, WHO said. The new advice contradicts government policies such as those in Britain, which has been giving out Tamiflu to all people suspected of having swine flu.
H1N1 virus detected in turkeys, says Chile
SANTIAGO – Chile detected the H1N1 swine flu virus in turkeys, authorities said Thursday, the first time the virus has been found outside humans or pigs. Chile's farming and livestock agency SAG said the flu outbreak had been controlled at the two farms 120 km west of the capital Santiago. A SAG statement said that laboratory results ruled out the presence of H5N1 or bird flu virus.


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