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World stocks, oil slide on US consumer worries
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 18 - 08 - 2009

World stock markets and oil prices fell sharply Monday as worries about US consumer spending reined in hopes for a quick global economic recovery – causing investors to look past the news that Japan has climbed out of recession.
In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was down 93.60 points, or 2 percent at 4,620.37 while Germany's DAX fell 118.80 points, or 2.2 percent, to 5,190.31. The CAC-40 in France was 82.36 points, or 2.4 percent, lower at 3,412.91.
Shanghai's market led sharp declines across Asia, plummeting nearly 6 percent, and futures markets pointed to big falls later when Wall Street opens. Dow futures were down 182 points, or 2 percent, at 9,139 while the broader Standard and amp; Poor's 500 futures slid 21.9 points, or 2.2 percent, to 983.90.
Concerns about the state of retailing in the US are primarily to blame for the latest bout of jitters in the markets, which have come after a month-long rally has sent many of the world's main stock markets to new highs for 2009.
A disappointing consumer confidence survey on Friday combined with a raft of downbeat earnings from the likes of Abercrombie and amp; Fitch Co., JC Penney Corp. and Nordstrom Inc. to fuel concerns that that the world economy may not recover as swiftly as many in the markets have been hoping. Investors are fully aware that without the support of the US consumer, which accounts for around 70 percent of the US economy and 20 percent of the global economy, recovery will be muted at best.
Analysts said there was no need to worry just yet though much will depend on what happens on Wall Street.
“A slide below the 9,000 level is likely to give investors cause for concern by suggesting that this could be the beginning of a significant move lower rather than just a brief correction in the recovery,” said David Jones, chief market strategist at IG Index.
Oil prices also continued to fall sharply amid concerns that global demand may not be as high as thought. Benchmark crude for September delivery was down $1.53 to $65.98 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after tanking $3.01 Friday. Analysts said the near $5 decline in oil prices over two trading days has provided another reason for stock investors to book profits. Many of the world's stock markets have rallied around 50 percent since the March lows. “The much weaker oil price may be a starting point for traders as they continue to book profits after the strong recent run,” said Matt Buckland, a dealer at CMC Markets.
Investors seemed little comforted by news that Japan joined Germany and France as developed economies broken free from recession. Japan, the world's second-largest economy, grew 0.9 percent in the second quarter compared to the prior quarter as export sales picked up after the country's deepest slump since World War II.
Japan's return to growth – thanks to a 6.3 percent uptick in exports along with government stimulus measures – marked the end of a yearlong recession. But traders, counting on even stronger growth for the quarter, were underwhelmed. “Investors have already expected a rise in Japan's GDP during the April


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