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OPEC expected to reduce production
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 15 - 12 - 2008

OPEC is set to announce plans to slash output in the hope of lifting crude prices weighed down by a recession-fueled slide in energy demand.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries on Wednesday convenes in Oran, Algeria, where it is widely expected to announce plans to cut its oil output quota for a third time since September. Iran, for one, will be calling for a cut at the meeting, the ISNA news agency reported Sunday.
“Our position in the upcoming OPEC meeting in Algeria is a cut of 1.5 million to two million barrels per day in OPEC's quota output,” Iranian Oil Minister Gholam Hossein Nozari was quoted as saying.
Julian Jessop, the chief analyst at consultancy Capital Economics, suggested they would probably get their way. “(OPEC) is likely to announce further cuts of at least two million barrels,” he predicted.
Analysts are forecasting a cut of between one and two million barrels from OPEC's official daily output quota of 27.3 million barrels, excluding Iraq.
“OPEC's actions are not in themselves going to drive prices higher again ... OPEC cut production just as aggressively during the last global downturn in 2001 and 2002, but oil prices did not take off until 2004 when the world economy grew by nearly five percent,” said Jessop.
Crude futures have dived by as much as 70 percent since reaching all-time highs of above $147 a barrel only five months ago.
Back then, fears of supply disruptions had sent them rocketing.


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