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Angola's real estate immune global crisis
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 20 - 10 - 2008

Angola's sizzling property market has sailed through the global financial crisis and is expected to continue to thrive in coming years, executives and analysts say.
Property values, particularly in the capital Luanda, skyrocketed amid an oil-fuelled economic boom that followed the end of a 27-year civil war in 2002, making the city one of the most expensive in the world to live.
Basic one-bedroom flats rent at $7,000 a month, and it is not uncommon for expatriates to pay $20,000 a month for something more luxurious. Demand for office space has also been frothy, tripling in the last three years, according to Colliers International, an Australian real estate firm.
A shortage of modern buildings coupled with growing demand for housing from foreign workers promises to keep real estate one of the hottest and most profitable sectors of the African nation's economy after oil.
“Everyone wants to be here. I predict growth in real estate prices during the next three years,” Jose Camargo, head of the Angolan real estate unit of Brazilian construction company Odebrecht, told Reuters in an interview.
Angola, which rivals Nigeria as sub-Saharan Africa's biggest oil producer, has embarked on a massive reconstruction programme since emerging from the war, buoyed by rising oil production, a jump in world oil prices and billions in foreign investment.
Angola's government said last week steep falls in world oil prices would not derail its plans to spend billions to fight poverty and spur economic growth. Benchmark US crude was on Friday trading at around $72 – roughly half a July peak.
Angola's focus has mostly been on rebuilding ports, railways and other key infrastructure for the oil-centred economy, but the government has also earmarked funds for the construction of office and apartment buildings as well as hotels.
Dozens of construction cranes dot Luanda's skyline.
The Bay of Luanda is currently being revamped with a $2 billion facelift that will spawn new hotels and apartment buildings and other businesses along its historic but neglected shoreline.
The construction craze is likely to dent but not solve the shortage of apartments and office space, and prices are expected to remain at the lofty end of the spectrum.
“There is a huge gap between supply and demand and that is the main factor pushing prices,” said Nelson Rego, the head of Angolan real estate consultancy firm Proprime.
Moving against the cycle
Unlike real estate markets in the United States, Britain and elsewhere, which have slumped due to the credit crunch, Angola's market has been buoyed by heavy inflows of foreign investment and strong economic growth.
The economy grew by around 20 percent last year and is expected to expand by a further 15 percent this year. Investors see the country as a stable emerging market with a government that has embraced pro-business policies, and the ruling MPLA's landslide victory in a parliamentary election last month ensured that the direction would not change radically.
“Angola is one of many places that are moving against the current economic cycle,” said Helder Bataglia, the chairman of Portuguese conglomerate Escom, Angola's biggest non-oil investor.
The government, however, is under pressure to do more to spread the benefits of economic growth to Angola's 16.5 million people, many of whom live in run-down shantytowns that lack electricity, running water and sewage facilities.
Residents in Luanda, home to one third of the population, often have no option than to squat in derelict buildings in the city centre. Renovating these prized areas could ease the housing shortage and perhaps keep a lid on prices.
An opportunity to do so could emerge in coming years as President Jose Eduardo dos Santos's government embarks on a plan to build 1 million homes for the poor at a cost of $50 billion.
Yet some Luandans say they will resist an offer to move.
“Why should I?” says Ricardo, 17, who lives on the 18th floor of the Lagoa building, one of the most famous of Luanda's run-down housing blocks. “Where else can I wake up and have this beautiful view of the bay of Luanda? It's all I have.” – Reuters __


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