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Proxy war over Syria threatens Iraq's neutrality, claims Zebari
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 21 - 06 - 2013


Samia Nakhoul and Patrick Markey
BAGHDAD — Iraq is being buffeted by both sides in the civil war raging across its border in Syria and Baghdad's official policy of neutrality is at risk as the conflict spirals into a region-wide proxy war, its foreign minister said.
After two years of fighting that has killed more than 93,000 people, Syria's turmoil is dragging its neighbors into a deadly confrontation between Shiite Iran supporting President Bashar Al-Assad and Sunni Arab Gulf nations backing Syrian rebels.
In Iraq, there had been a sharp spike in sectarian attacks in Shiite and Sunni neighborhoods, putting renewed strain on its own fragile ethnic and confessional make-up, with a Shiite majority and disaffected Sunni Arab and Kurdish minorities.
Iraq's Shiite dominated government says it supports no side in the war, calling for a negotiated settlement. Western powers say the government allows Iranian flights carrying weapons to Assad's forces through Iraqi airspace, a charge Baghdad denies.
“We are doing our best to maintain a neutral position, but the pressures are enormous and for how long we can hold really is a matter of further developments in Syria,” Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari told Reuters in an interview this week.
As Syria's conflict becomes increasingly sectarian, Sunni Al-Qaeda fighters from Iraq are joining rebels in Syria and Shiite militias who once fought alongside US troops in Iraq are crossing over the border to support Assad's forces.
Washington said last week it would start funneling military support to the Syrian rebels after thousands of Shiite militants from Lebanon's Hezbollah helped Syrian government forces secure important military gains.
“Iraq is in the most difficult position in this regional turmoil and the conflict in Syria has become a regional conflict by all standards,” Zebari said in Baghdad.
Earlier in the Syrian conflict, Iraq rejected calls from other Arab nations for Assad to step down, taking a more muted approach on the growing violence across its eastern border. It abstained from an Arab League vote to suspend Syria and resisted calls for sanctions against its neighbor.
While Iraq's Shi'ite leaders have in the past been hostile to Assad's rule, privately they acknowledge that they fear a collapse of Syria will fragment Iraq along sectarian lines and bring to power a hardline Sunni rule hostile to Baghdad.
The country's Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki, a Shi'ite, is close to Iran — relying on Iranian influence to maintain the unity of his Shiite coalition, and once took refuge from former dictator Saddam Hussein in Syria.
But Baghdad has a complex relationship with Damascus, which once allowed Sunni fighters to slip across its borders to bomb American and Iraqi troops at the height of the war that followed the US-led invasion of 2003.
US and European officials say Iraq is not doing enough to stop Iran using its airspace to ferry arms to aid Assad.
Asked about this, and the movement of Iraqi Shiite fighters across the border, Zebari said: “From our knowledge of the dynamics of the Syrian conflict, we have taken a more cautious position. Not for any love for the regime ... but out of serious concerns for Iraqi national interests.”
Iran, which has a longtime strategic alliance with Syria and common enmity against Israel and Saddam, has gained greater influence in Baghdad since the toppling of Saddam ended decades of Sunni rule and brought Shiite allied groups to power.
Many Iraqi observers fear that if Iran loses its Syrian foothold, the only backyard left for its power play would be Iraq, which would increase pressure on the country enormously.
Divisions between Russian and Western powers have hampered organization of an international peace conference on Syria, and the Syrian opposition itself has struggled to form a united front, complicating efforts by those opposed to Assad to prepare for any transition of power.
“Nobody has any control, on the regime or the opposition, this is what is worrying,” Zebari said. “There is no international consensus.” — Reuters


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