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US, Russia gingerly resetting relations
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 11 - 12 - 2011


By Matt Spetalnick and Susan Cornwell
Reuters
Strains between Washington and Moscow over Russia's disputed parliamentary elections are threatening US President Barack Obama's “reset” policy, and tensions could escalate further under the glare of coming presidential votes in both countries.
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin's attack on Secretary of State Hillary Clinton for questioning the validity of Sunday's elections signaled a possible endpoint in the warming trend that Obama's aides have hailed as one of his signature foreign policy achievements.
With Obama seeking reelection in November and Putin widely expected to reclaim Russia's presidency in March, the political season is likely to be marked by a hardened tone between former the Cold War foes, analysts say.
A stronger US line could help Obama counter Republican charges that his Russia policy amounts to appeasement and also give him a boost with fellow Democrats who want a more assertive approach on human rights.
Putin, a former KGB spymaster, may hope his tough talk will divert attention from his emerging domestic political problems and also appeal to voters' nationalist instincts.
The latest shift comes in the wake of a serious election setback for Putin's ruling party. Political opponents, who say United Russia would have done even worse if not for widespread fraud at the ballot box, responded with protests.
Clinton's assertion that the elections were neither fair nor free drew angry accusations from Putin that she had instigated the demonstrations.
The unrest, while not likely to bring down a leader whose poll numbers remain high, has shown his grip on power to be not as solid as many had assumed.
Putin accused Clinton of encouraging “mercenary” Kremlin foes. “She set the tone for some opposition activists, gave them a signal, they heard this signal and started active work,” he said.
The White House stood by Clinton's criticism of the conduct of the parliamentary elections but played down any threat to overall US-Russian relations.
The US administration had been bracing for the likelihood that Putin's return to the Kremlin next year will complicate the reset in relations Obama launched in 2009.
Washington is now taking the calculated risk that the leadership shuffle in Moscow will not roll back the biggest gains — a new nuclear arms-reduction treaty and use of Russian territory for supplying US forces fighting in Afghanistan.
Analysts believe that while Putin might try to show Russia's diplomatic clout by withholding support for any new UN sanctions against Iran, he is too invested in the reset to allow a rupture in relations with Washington. But big differences remain over a proposed US missile shield in Europe, which Washington insists is meant to protect against Iran but Moscow sees as a threat to its security.
And on top of that, the US president —known for his “no-drama Obama” persona — is considered an unlikely match for Putin and his more mercurial personality, which may make it hard for the two to form much of a personal bond.
Obama will not want to be seen closing the book entirely on the reset, which his administration has billed as a top foreign policy priority.
Foreign policy will be trumped by the economy and jobs in Obama's difficult reelection drive, but his aides want to make sure his efforts on the world stage still weigh in his favor. __


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