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Kabul, Lahore, and Sa'ada
Published in AL HAYAT on 20 - 10 - 2009

No army leaves Afghanistan victorious. Its people are as tough as its landscape. They fight foreigners without any mercy. Even in the absence of foreigners, Afghans fight on the ethnic and sectarian demarcation lines. Afghans pay without counting to become victorious over those who violate their isolation, then proceed to lose the victory and drown in their own blood.
The Afghan territory is often the scene of great experiments. The Mujahideen have exhausted for years the Soviet Treasury and the Red Army. The United States has punished the “Empire of Evil” and Pakistan has played the role of a passageway and incubator for the defeat of the Soviets in Kabul.
Today, the world is following another scene. America is stuck in a merciless war there. A clear and sweeping victory is impossible because of the nature of the scene and the country's structure. Withdrawing and leaving Afghanistan in the care of Mullah Omar and Osama bin Laden is a defeat that is hard for the West to tolerate. Its repercussions in the Islamic world will also be unbearable. In this country where violence and corruption poison the days, battles, and elections, Barack Obama stands perplexed. Neither a pullout is conceivable today nor is a victory possible tomorrow.
Afghanistan is not the only war that concerns close and remote countries. There is a neighboring inseparable war in Pakistan, which has entered a new phase with the land aggression launched by the army in southern Waziristan along Afghanistan. This war also involves close and remote countries.
Followers of the news must not forget the third war that is taking place in another part of the world. It is the war in Yemen and it involves both close and remote countries.
There is a point in common among the three scenes. The Taliban regime in Afghanistan was sanctioned because it offered a safe haven to Al Qaeda and refused to abandon it following the “New York and Washington invasions”. Because the Afghanistan war cannot waged without relying on the Pakistani depth, the battle of Pakistan's position in the “war on terror” and in the Afghan war has been launched right from the start.
It can be said here that Pakistan is paying the price of its successes in previous roles: the “production” of Mujahideen; the “production” of Taliban supporters; entrusting the military intelligence with managing the cards of the Afghan scene and turning Afghanistan into a depth for Pakistan in the regional game, especially with India. Today, the Pakistani authorities find themselves before Taliban-Pakistan, along with Al Qaeda.
Despite the particularity of the war in Yemen with the Houthis and the Iranian fingerprints there according to San'aa, we cannot ignore Al Qaeda's wish to find a safe haven there. It can be said that any diminution of the Yemeni state's authority due to the war with the Houthis and the appearance of secessionist calls in the South would offer Al Qaeda a golden opportunity that greatly exceeds the Somali opportunity. It can also be noted that Iran is involved in the three wars, whether for geographical reasons, the allegiance of a group of fighters, or its aspiration to turn into a great state in the region and the Islamic world.
The world cannot bear to see the disintegration of Pakistan or the safety of its nuclear arsenal threatened. The region cannot bear to see the disintegration of Yemen, the retraction of the central authority in it, and the entrenchment of Al Qaeda on part of its territory. It is hard for the world to see Mullah Omar return as master of Kabul and a sponsor of Osama bin Laden. These three wars are a mixture of fears, terror, extremism with its sources and schools, nuclear safety, oil safety, regional roles, and the awe of the sole great superpower. These three wars are worrisome… and concern close and remote countries.


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