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Assuming It's A Victory
Published in AL HAYAT on 15 - 11 - 2013

The rejectionist group is refusing to describe what is happening in Syria as being anything but a new victory to be added to the list of its divine and human victories.
On the ground, the revolutionary forces are retreating, in parallel to the emergence of all the complications that have accumulated in Syria throughout decades. For their part, Bashar al-Assad's regime and its supporters are benefitting from a long series of military and political flops suffered by the opposition in the last few months, as well as from its inability to settle the situation militarily or form a meaningful political command.
The Tehran-Damascus axis is exploiting these setbacks to proclaim its overwhelming victory over the Syrian revolution, while giving this revolution a sectarian and denominational dimension that is contributing to the elimination of the liberation facet it was firstly adopted, and for which millions of Syrians sacrificed their lives, dignities and money. Naturally, the regime does not care about these facts. It merely wishes to crush the Syrian revolutionaries' ability to fight and achieve victory, a thing that will not happen.
Let us assume – for argument's sake – that Al-Assad, his apparatuses and followers achieve victory in the war in Syria, and that we wake up tomorrow morning to find that the Syrian Arab Army and the elements of Hezbollah and Abu al-Fadl al-Abbas Brigade have crushed all the Syrian revolution fighters and imposed the regime's authority over the regions and cities it lost in the last two years. And let us assume - to paint a complete image - that the political process in Geneva or elsewhere leads to the stay of the regime, its president, its structure and the power mechanism it established throughout more than forty years. What would that mean on the ground? What is the project heralded by Al-Assad and his followers after the virtual victory? What are the lessons heeded by the regime from the revolution, which we will assume it was able to crush?
In reality, nothing leads us to conclude that Al-Assad and his rejectionist gang have heeded any of the lessons of the revolution. Indeed, they did not learn to respect the will of the Syrians or recognize them as human beings demanding dignity, the right to live, and freedom. In addition, nothing reveals that they will relinquish their outsmarting and manipulation attempts which they dub "wisdom" in dealing with the internal and external arenas, while there is not one sign pointing to the fact that they will stop terrorizing their neighbors, interfering in their affairs, assassinating their officials and detonating their streets.
The proof for that is clearly seen in the new constitution, the referendum organized over it, the play related to the lifting of the state of emergency and the ongoing campaigns of arrest, liquidation, and methodic torture. It is seen in the dispatch of booby-trapped cars to Lebanon and the use of the supporters in that country to obstruct anything that might constitute a point of national convergence. It is also seen in the ease with which sectarian instigation is being carried out, in order to provoke reactions and implicate the citizens in a civil and sectarian conflict with a blocked horizon.
In the meantime, nothing points to the fact that the regime will introduce the minimum level of economic reforms to alleviate the grip of the familial/security mafia and its main pillars, or that it will reconsider the practices that have generated a crisis it imposed on the agricultural and industrial sectors, through its "openness" which caused the unemployment rates to skyrocket and concentrated the wealth in the hands of the family and security members and those revolving in their space. And this is just the tip of the iceberg, with practices extending to education, healthcare, freedom of expression and transportation among others.
In other words, Al-Assad's alleged victory will not exceed - in a best case scenario – the reproduction of the objective circumstances that provoked the eruption of the revolution. Naturally, the rejectionist voices celebrating the "historic victories" do not care about that.


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