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The Illusion Of A "Political Solution" In Syria
Published in AL HAYAT on 12 - 11 - 2013

There is now a quasi-consensus between the mediators dealing with the Syrian crisis as well as the western politicians who are involved in this crisis to say that there will be no military solution to the conflict and that the best way to end it is to look for a political solution.
Those parties who are discussing this idea and making these statements undoubtedly realize what a political solution means as well as its related commitments and terms. In all the regional and international crises, from the Lebanese war to the Bosnian conflict, to the Afghanistan and Iraq wars, the political solution reached in all these instances was the outcome of the military defeat of one side or the result of one regional or international sponsor abandoning this or that party.
When it comes to the Syrian conflict, there is certainly no room for such a solution. To this moment, there is no proof that either side, the regime or the opposition, will be achieving a definitive military victory, one that will force the other side to surrender. In addition, the external sponsors that are arming, financing and supporting this conflict on the political level are now more ready than ever to keep providing this support or even to enhance it.
Moreover, there is no room for a mid-way solution allowing for a settlement to be reached between the conflicting parties in Syria even if these parties were to agree to take part in the Geneva Conference. Indeed, how can the Syrian regime and its opponents reach a common agreement with everyone being fully aware of their clearly conflicting positions? The oppositionists are ruling out the possibility of Bashar al-Assad obtaining any post in the post-settlement phase. They believe that a regime that had its hands soaked with its people's blood is not fit for staying in power. As for Al-Assad, he believes that this is a "pre-condition" that should not be imposed prior to the launching of the negotiations. He is also promoting his pretext in the western media by claiming that his fate is to be decided only through the voting ballots and that this is a purely internal Syrian affair. It is as if the constitutional falsification that allowed him to access power represents a shining example of reverting to the voting ballots!
Those parties who are alluding to a political solution to the Syrian crisis are doing so because they wish to shy away from their human, ethical, and even religious commitments as well as their duty to rescue Syria and its people and to help the Syrians in getting rid of this killer regime. This opportunity presented itself last year. However, Barack Obama let the Syrians down like everyone else.
Currently, the westerners are holding the Syrians responsible for finding a "political solution" with Bashar al-Assad. However, they all know that the only solution envisaged by the Syrian regime and its security services is one that will end up wiping out all the regime's opponents, i.e. "the traitors and the terrorists".
Those parties who are calling for a political solution actually want no solution at all. As a proof to that, the western officials who reached a deal concerning the Syrian chemical weapons with the Kremlin failed to discuss the future of the regime and the need to impose its departure as part of the solution based on the pledges that they had previously made. On the contrary, this deal actually revived the Al-Assad regime.
Another proof can be seen through the deal that the West is trying to arrange with the vilayet-e-Faqih rule in Tehran. Everyone knows that the involvement of Iran and its affiliated armed groups (be it in Iraq or in Lebanon) in the Syrian war is actually allowing the Al-Assad regime to remain standing. However, those brave negotiators did not consider that it was necessary for them to ask the Iranian regime to halt its interferences in the Syrian regime in order to provide a good opportunity for the political solution that the westerners are talking about and designating as the only possible solution to the Syrian crisis.


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