If the United States invades Afghanistan and Iraq, Iran will cooperate with it and assist it in getting rid of rulers who have antagonized it for many years. If Washington retreats in Iraq and suggests a dialogue to solve the problems of the Iranian nuclear project with threats after waiting for so long to impose international sanctions, then President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will rise up and revolt against the “amateurs” who want to continue the course of “the cowboys.” The abovementioned approached is seemingly inspired by a book called “The Art of War” by Sun Tzu. This theory calls for retreat and abstention from confronting the enemy when the latter attacks, while it calls for pursuing this enemy when he retreats and attacking and tearing him up when he gets tired and exhausted. The current phase of the Iranian activity reveals that the Iranian tiger is about to pursue the American elephant that entered the ceramics' market in Iraq and the Middle East and wreaked havoc in it. The Iranian president believes that the new American conditions on using the nuclear weapon involve more threats to his country. As such, he is announcing two issues: A sense of self-inflation in an uneven manner, and a partial reading for what Washington considered to be a step toward removing the issue of the nuclear weapon from international relations. While Washington realizes the limits of its ability and rules out until further notice military weapons in dealing with Iran, the latter threatens to attack the American forces if the nuclear reactors were attacked, after asserting that the missiles would shower Tel Aviv if Iran were hit. Interestingly, the recent threats, which were launched by the Iranian defense minister and the Israeli chief of staff, coincided with the meeting of President Barack Obama and President Dmitry Medvedev in Prague to sign an agreement to shrink the military arsenal by one-third. These realities reveal that the offensive Iranian policies, regardless of whether or not they come in the framework of escaping forward from the growing political and economic crises, appear as though a result of an assessment stating that the region is ahead of a new period of tension which is not only created by the Iranian authority of course. The presence of such an Israeli Government, headed by Benjamin Netanyahu and whose foreign policy is run by an extremist racist like Avigdor Lieberman, is a valuable reward for Ahmadinejad and his likes in escalating the war rhetoric abroad and the political and cultural repression at home. Therefore, the fiery Iranian statements coincide with those made by the Israeli ministers and create a climate of terror which is mirrored in a paralysis in Arab policy and an inability to make any practical steps in terms of moving the peace process or abandoning it and announcing its death, and therefore getting ready for its various alternatives. In brief, the scene in Prague yesterday seemed for the people of the Middle East as if coming from another planet. Shrinking the number of nuclear warheads and adopting diplomacy and dialogue in the relations between the two previous rivals who were very close to destroying each other and the world many times, could not be understood by the Arabs and Iranians who receive speeches of threats and intimidation and destruction and are surrounded by the pictures of the swollen and inflamed settlements in the West Bank, without being able to address the second with the first. It is no exaggeration to say that the government in Iran is keeping pace with many Arab regimes which have previously flooded the Palestinian cause with fiery speeches, in addition to money and arms, in the hope of preserving their positions and enhancing the negotiation conditions and controlling power. This is considered to be a means of survival before being an art of war.
